Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.