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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Aker Stadion
Lillestrom

Kristiansund
2 - 1
Lillestrom

Rakneberg (44'), Stromland Lien (49')
Lansing (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elkaer (28')
Garnas (23'), Gabrielsen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Kristiansund and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tromso 0-0 Kristiansund
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Kristiansund 1-2 Lillestrom

Lillestrom have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Kristiansund side who have won just one of their last five matches across all competitions. While Skiri's men have been rock-solid on home turf, we predict that Lillestrom will take the positives from their comeback against Sarpsborg and claim all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
KristiansundDrawLillestrom
37.43% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 23.16% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 39.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 64.7% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.32% (0.023000000000003 0.02)36.67% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Kristiansund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kristiansund 37.43%
    Lillestrom 39.41%
    Draw 23.16%
KristiansundDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 37.43%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 6.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 39.41%

How you voted: Kristiansund vs Lillestrom

Kristiansund
42.5%
Draw
32.5%
Lillestrom
25.0%
40
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 1
Lillestrom
2-3
Kristiansund
Garnas (59'), Lehne Olsen (82')
Alte (13'), Peter Ulvestad (49'), Bruseth (66')
Gueye (38'), Rafn Mikaelsson (47')
Aug 28, 2022 5pm
Jul 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Kristiansund
1-3
Lillestrom
Bye (20' pen.)
Jarl (57'), Williamsen (79')
Adams (71', 84'), Fridjonsson (87')
Adams (85')
Oct 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lillestrom
0-0
Kristiansund
Garnas (50'), Dragsnes (54'), Matthew (71'), Ogbu (88')
Ogbu (90+7')
Coly (79')
May 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 5
Kristiansund
1-0
Lillestrom
Bye (83')
Aasbak (41'), Kartum (70')

Ranger (1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt27167462273555
2SK BrannBrann27167451292255
3Viking FKViking FK27148554371750
4MoldeMolde27146760322848
5RosenborgRosenborg2714494538746
6Fredrikstad2712873533244
7KFUM OsloKFUM2781093233-134
8HamKam2789103434033
9StromsgodsetStromsgodset2788113038-832
10Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg2795133851-1332
11KristiansundKristiansund27710103039-931
12Tromso ILTromso2786133140-930
13SandefjordSandefjord2777133745-828
14FK HaugesundHaugesund2776142440-1627
15Lillestrom2773173053-2324
16Odd2758142549-2423


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