MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 20:56:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lillestrom
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 16
Jul 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
2 - 2
Sarpsborg

Gabrielsen (47'), Lundemo (90+6')
Kitolano (39'), Lundemo (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Meister (16', 38')
Johansen (45+2'), Sher (45+3'), Eriksson (61'), Hiim (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 Stromsgodset
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-1 Brann
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Lillestrom 2-1 Sarpsborg 08

Lillestrom and Sarpsborg have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Arasen Stadion. The Kanarifugla's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we are backing them to secure all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
LillestromDrawSarpsborg 08
47.84% (0.118 0.12) 22.87% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 29.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 62.65% (0.11300000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.91% (0.171 0.17)38.08% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.65% (0.182 0.18)60.35% (-0.182 -0.18)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.10599999999999 0.11)16.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (0.194 0.19)45.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09% (0.055 0.05)59.9% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 47.84%
    Sarpsborg 08 29.28%
    Draw 22.87%
LillestromDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg

Lillestrom
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Sarpsborg 08
0.0%
17
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 6
Sarpsborg
1-0
Lillestrom
Wichne (68')
Odegaard (66'), Andersen (85')
Sep 17, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
Sarpsborg
3-1
Lillestrom
Johan Christiansen (32', 40'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (75')
Haug (88')
Lehne Olsen (63')
Garnas (26'), Ibrahimaj (73')
May 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 7
Lillestrom
1-2
Sarpsborg
Adams (90+4')
Inge Utvik (47'), Soltvedt (54')
Baah (56'), Andersen (77'), Skalevik (90+5')
Jul 31, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Sarpsborg
0-2
Lillestrom

Lindseth (17'), Horn (30'), Soltvedt (44'), Skalevik (45+7'), Inge Utvik (75'), Saletros (75')
Horn (45+3'), Saletros (75')
Andre Helland (76' pen.), Fridjonsson (84')
Christiansen (45+7'), Knudsen (77'), Matthew (89')
May 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 6
Lillestrom
1-0
Sarpsborg
Ibrahimaj (68')

Inge Utvik (9'), Hoyland (53'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (54'), Muhammed (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24165357213653
2SK BrannBrann24137442281446
3MoldeMolde24135654282644
4Viking FKViking FK24127546311543
5RosenborgRosenborg2412484034640
6Fredrikstad2411763229340
7KFUM OsloKFUM248973029133
8HamKam247893029129
9Tromso ILTromso2484122833-528
10StromsgodsetStromsgodset2477102837-928
11KristiansundKristiansund236892736-926
12Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg2475123348-1526
13FK HaugesundHaugesund2465132337-1423
14SandefjordSandefjord2357113139-822
15Odd2457122240-1822
16Lillestrom2463152650-2421


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