MX23RW : Friday, December 27 14:59:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lillestrom
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 16
Jul 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
2 - 2
Sarpsborg

Gabrielsen (47'), Lundemo (90+6')
Kitolano (39'), Lundemo (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Meister (16', 38')
Johansen (45+2'), Sher (45+3'), Eriksson (61'), Hiim (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lillestrom

All competitions
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 Stromsgodset
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-1 Brann
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Lillestrom 2-1 Sarpsborg 08

 Lillestrom and Sarpsborg have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Arasen Stadion. The Kanarifugla's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we are backing them to secure all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
LillestromDrawSarpsborg 08
47.84% (0.118 0.12) 22.87% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 29.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 62.65% (0.11300000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.91% (0.171 0.17)38.08% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.65% (0.182 0.18)60.35% (-0.182 -0.18)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.10599999999999 0.11)16.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (0.194 0.19)45.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09% (0.055 0.05)59.9% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 47.84%
    Sarpsborg 08 29.28%
    Draw 22.87%
LillestromDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg

Lillestrom
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Sarpsborg 08
0.0%
17
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 6
Sarpsborg
1-0
Lillestrom
Wichne (68')
Odegaard (66'), Andersen (85')

Lehne Olsen (59')
Sep 17, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
Sarpsborg
3-1
Lillestrom
Johan Christiansen (32', 40'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (75')
Haug (88')
Lehne Olsen (63')
Garnas (26'), Ibrahimaj (73')
May 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 7
Lillestrom
1-2
Sarpsborg
Adams (90+4')
Inge Utvik (47'), Soltvedt (54')
Baah (56'), Andersen (77'), Skalevik (90+5')
Jul 31, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Sarpsborg
0-2
Lillestrom

Lindseth (17'), Horn (30'), Soltvedt (44'), Skalevik (45+7'), Inge Utvik (75'), Saletros (75')
Horn (45+3'), Saletros (75')
Andre Helland (76' pen.), Fridjonsson (84')
Christiansen (45+7'), Knudsen (77'), Matthew (89')
May 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 6
Lillestrom
1-0
Sarpsborg
Ibrahimaj (68')

Inge Utvik (9'), Hoyland (53'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (54'), Muhammed (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823
> Norwegian Eliteserien Full Table


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