Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 6

May 16, 2022 at 5pm UK

Arasen Stadion

Lillestrom
1 - 0
Sarpsborg

Ibrahimaj (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Inge Utvik (9'), Hoyland (53'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (54'), Muhammed (90+3')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
61.88% ( 0.09)	21% ( -0.03)	17.12% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.54% (

0.02)

43.45% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.15% (

0.02)

65.85% (

-0.02)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

0.04)

13.5% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.46% (

0.07)

40.54% (

-0.07)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.22% (

-0.06)

38.78% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.48% (

-0.06)

75.51% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 61.87%

Sarpsborg 08 17.12%

Draw 21%

Lillestrom	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 61.87%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21%	0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.12%