Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.