Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.