UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
3 - 1
Rosenborg

(Hearts win 4-3 on aggregate)

Shankland (13'), Devlin (50', 90+2')
Denholm (32'), Cochrane (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Thorvaldsson (5')
Pereira (16'), Thorvaldsson (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hearts and Rosenborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Hearts 0-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Rosenborg

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Hearts
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Rosenborg
27.97% ( 0.27)	22.79% ( -0.11)	49.24% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 61.94% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.41% (

0.7)

38.59% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11% (

0.74)

60.89% (

-0.74)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

0.54)

26.31% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.56% (

0.72)

61.43% (

-0.72)

Rosenborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

0.2)

15.94% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.78% (

0.37)

45.22% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Hearts 27.97%

Rosenborg 49.24%

Draw 22.79%

Hearts	Draw	Rosenborg
2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 27.97%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.24%