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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PEC Zwolle

Almere City
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Jacobs (90+6')
Cathline (38'), Barbet (42'), Jacobs (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van den Berg (4'), Vellios (90+7')
Garcia McNulty (23'), El Azzouzi (86'), Vellios (90+3')
El Azzouzi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Almere City
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-1 PEC Zwolle

Almere have struggled making the step-up so far, and games against a similar level of opposition is where their top-flight future will be decided. Another win over struggling opposition could lift Zwolle as high as the top eight here, before there will be bigger challenges to come, so they will fancy their chances after last week's win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.

Result
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
37.73% (0.267 0.27) 24.38% (0.177 0.18) 37.89% (-0.44 -0.44)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.849 -0.85)42.72% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)65.13% (0.854 0.85)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.24400000000001 -0.24)22.56% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.367 -0.37)56.15% (0.369 0.37)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)22.47% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.903 -0.9)56.02% (0.905 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 37.73%
    PEC Zwolle 37.89%
    Draw 24.37%
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.73%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.89%

How you voted: Almere City vs PEC Zwolle

Almere City
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
PEC Zwolle
88.9%
9
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 7pm
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Almere City
Van den Belt (31'), Van den Berg (65'), Vellios (86')
Pascu (25'), Hilterman (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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