Almere City1 - 2PEC Zwolle
Garcia McNulty (23'), El Azzouzi (86'), Vellios (90+3')
El Azzouzi (90+7')
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
We said: Almere City 0-1 PEC Zwolle
Almere have struggled making the step-up so far, and games against a similar level of opposition is where their top-flight future will be decided. Another win over struggling opposition could lift Zwolle as high as the top eight here, before there will be bigger challenges to come, so they will fancy their chances after last week's win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
37.73% ( 0.27) | 24.38% ( 0.18) | 37.89% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( -0.85) | 42.72% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( -0.85) | 65.13% ( 0.85) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( -0.24) | 22.56% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.85% ( -0.37) | 56.15% ( 0.37) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.6) | 22.47% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.98% ( -0.9) | 56.02% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.89% |
