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Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
FC Twente logo

Almere City
1 - 4
FC Twente

Post (72')
Floranus (27'), van Bruggen (32'), Esajas (69')
van Bruggen (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Propper (59'), Vlap (66'), van Wolfswinkel (90+2', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, June 11 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Riga FC
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Almere City 1-3 FC Twente

Almere face a huge challenge in their first game at this level and will be hoping Twente are slightly jaded from their escapades in Europe in midweek. Despite a new manager and many of their top performers leaving over the summer, Twente should still have enough to record an opening day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFC Twente
23.3% (0.344 0.34) 22.96% (0.181 0.18) 53.74% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.51% (-0.176 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.435 -0.43)43.62% (0.436 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.428 -0.43)66.01% (0.43000000000001 0.43)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (0.063000000000002 0.06)32.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (0.07 0.07)69.12% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)16.19% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (-0.617 -0.62)45.66% (0.618 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 23.3%
    FC Twente 53.74%
    Draw 22.95%
Almere CityDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.066 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.91% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.32% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.74%

How you voted: Almere City vs FC Twente

Almere City
4.3%
Draw
4.3%
FC Twente
91.3%
23
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 22
Almere City
1-3
FC Twente
Meijer (50')
Receveur (23'), Loen (34'), van Vlerken (53')
Cantalapiedra (8'), Boere (36'), Monsalve (72')
Brama (41')
Oct 26, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 11
FC Twente
1-0
Almere City
Boere (9')

Loen (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2FC UtrechtUtrecht12101122121031
3Feyenoord1384131131828
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1362525151020
7Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen135172012816
10Willem II134451514116
11NAC BredaNAC Breda135171423-916
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta132561320-711
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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