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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
FC Twente logo

Almere City
1 - 4
FC Twente

Post (72')
Floranus (27'), van Bruggen (32'), Esajas (69')
van Bruggen (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Propper (59'), Vlap (66'), van Wolfswinkel (90+2', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, June 11 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Riga FC
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Almere City 1-3 FC Twente

Almere face a huge challenge in their first game at this level and will be hoping Twente are slightly jaded from their escapades in Europe in midweek. Despite a new manager and many of their top performers leaving over the summer, Twente should still have enough to record an opening day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFC Twente
23.3% (0.344 0.34) 22.96% (0.181 0.18) 53.74% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.51% (-0.176 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.435 -0.43)43.62% (0.436 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.428 -0.43)66.01% (0.43000000000001 0.43)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (0.063000000000002 0.06)32.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (0.07 0.07)69.12% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)16.19% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (-0.617 -0.62)45.66% (0.618 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 23.3%
    FC Twente 53.74%
    Draw 22.95%
Almere CityDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.066 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.91% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.32% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.74%

How you voted: Almere City vs FC Twente

Almere City
4.3%
Draw
4.3%
FC Twente
91.3%
23
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 22
Almere City
1-3
FC Twente
Meijer (50')
Receveur (23'), Loen (34'), van Vlerken (53')
Cantalapiedra (8'), Boere (36'), Monsalve (72')
Brama (41')
Oct 26, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 11
FC Twente
1-0
Almere City
Boere (9')

Loen (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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