Eredivisie | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 4
FC Twente

Post (72')
Floranus (27'), van Bruggen (32'), Esajas (69')
van Bruggen (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Propper (59'), Vlap (66'), van Wolfswinkel (90+2', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Emmen 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, June 11 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Riga FC
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

We said: Almere City 1-3 FC Twente

Almere face a huge challenge in their first game at this level and will be hoping Twente are slightly jaded from their escapades in Europe in midweek. Despite a new manager and many of their top performers leaving over the summer, Twente should still have enough to record an opening day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	FC Twente
23.3% ( 0.34)	22.96% ( 0.18)	53.74% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.38% (

-0.43)

43.62% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.99% (

-0.43)

66.01% (

0.43)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.42% (

0.06)

32.58% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88% (

0.07)

69.12% (

-0.07)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.81% (

-0.34)

16.19% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.34% (

-0.62)

45.66% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Almere City 23.3%

FC Twente 53.74%

Draw 22.95%

Almere City	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.3%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.95%	1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.74%