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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
FC Twente logo

Almere City
1 - 4
FC Twente

Post (72')
Floranus (27'), van Bruggen (32'), Esajas (69')
van Bruggen (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Propper (59'), Vlap (66'), van Wolfswinkel (90+2', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Emmen 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, June 11 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Riga FC
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Almere City 1-3 FC Twente

Almere face a huge challenge in their first game at this level and will be hoping Twente are slightly jaded from their escapades in Europe in midweek. Despite a new manager and many of their top performers leaving over the summer, Twente should still have enough to record an opening day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFC Twente
23.3% (0.344 0.34) 22.96% (0.181 0.18) 53.74% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.51% (-0.176 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.435 -0.43)43.62% (0.436 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.428 -0.43)66.01% (0.43000000000001 0.43)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (0.063000000000002 0.06)32.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (0.07 0.07)69.12% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34)16.19% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (-0.617 -0.62)45.66% (0.618 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 23.3%
    FC Twente 53.74%
    Draw 22.95%
Almere CityDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.066 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.91% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.32% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.74%

How you voted: Almere City vs FC Twente

Almere City
Draw
FC Twente
Almere City
4.3%
Draw
4.3%
FC Twente
91.3%
23
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 22
Almere City
1-3
FC Twente
Meijer (50')
Receveur (23'), Loen (34'), van Vlerken (53')
Cantalapiedra (8'), Boere (36'), Monsalve (72')
Brama (41')
Oct 26, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 11
FC Twente
1-0
Almere City
Boere (9')

Loen (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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