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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Almere City |
69.52% ( -0.33) | 17.41% ( 0.14) | 13.08% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.84% ( -0.17) | 35.16% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.84% ( -0.19) | 57.16% ( 0.19) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.89% ( -0.12) | 9.11% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.07% ( -0.28) | 30.93% ( 0.29) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.07% ( 0.18) | 38.92% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% ( 0.17) | 75.65% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Almere City |
2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 69.51% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.41% | 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |