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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
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Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Excelsior

Utrecht
2 - 2
Excelsior

Bozdogan (70'), Sagnan (90+3')
Sagnan (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Driouech (53'), Lamprou (62')
Baas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, November 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 AZ
Saturday, November 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 SBV Excelsior

 With both of these teams collecting good points last weekend, Utrecht and Excelsior will be in optimistic moods ahead of Sunday night's clash at Stadion Galgenwaard. The hosts are unbeaten in their last three home matches across all competitions, but we believe that streak will come to an end against SBV in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
55.42% (0.653 0.65) 22.18% (-0.239 -0.24) 22.4% (-0.413 -0.41)
Both teams to score 58% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (0.607 0.61)41.1% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (0.614 0.61)63.49% (-0.61300000000001 -0.61)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (0.423 0.42)14.74% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (0.805 0.81)42.95% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)31.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.032 -0.03)68.43% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 55.42%
    SBV Excelsior 22.4%
    Draw 22.17%
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.37% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 22.4%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Excelsior

FC Utrecht
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
SBV Excelsior
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Utrecht
1-0
Excelsior
Douvikas (6')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Excelsior
0-1
Utrecht
Van de Streek (31')
> Preview
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-0
Excelsior
Klaiber (9')
Koolwijk (21'), Fortes (60'), Messaoud (95')
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 14
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
Feb 4, 2018 11.30am
Excelsior
2-2
Utrecht
Elbers (22'), Faik (77')
Haspolat (72')
Van der Maarel (25'), Labyad (73')
Kerk (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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