Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 2
Almere City

Flamingo (38'), Novoa (60'), Fraulo (89')
Novoa (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Robinet (80'), van La Parra (89')
van Bruggen (22'), Mbe Soh (26'), Kitala (45+3'), Koopmeiners (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 0-4 PSV
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 Almere City

Both sides have struggled from an attacking point of view so far this season, scoring just four goals in their opening six games, so Saturday's match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. However, given that they have home advantage, we expect a narrow victory for the hosts, which could move them out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Almere City
52.8% ( -0.13)	23.24% ( 0.11)	23.95% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.36% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82% (

-0.49)

44.18% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.44% (

-0.48)

66.56% (

0.48)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

-0.23)

16.72% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.37% (

-0.4)

46.63% (

0.4)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

-0.26)

32.32% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

-0.3)

68.82% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 52.8%

Almere City 23.95%

Draw 23.24%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 52.8%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.95%