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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
32.29% (![]() | 23.27% (![]() | 44.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% (![]() | 38.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% (![]() | 60.7% (![]() |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% (![]() | 23.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% (![]() | 57.55% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.31% (![]() | 17.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.67% (![]() | 48.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.55% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 10.42% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 9.03% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 3.92% Total : 44.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |