Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht4 - 3Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Volendam 1-0 Utrecht
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 Ajax
Such has been Ajax's demise that you cannot back them to defeat any Dutch team with any great confidence. Nevertheless, we are predicting that the visitors will battle their way to a hard-fought triumph, potentially kick-starting their campaign in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
32.29% ( 1.48) | 23.27% ( 0.65) | 44.45% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.96% ( -1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
