Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Sep 26, 2020 at 5.45pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
3 - 3
AZ

Flemming (9', 90+6'), Hansson (79')
Rota (87'), Smeets (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

De Wit (23'), Koopmeiners (52'), Boadu (69')
Hatzidiakos (37')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
29.36%	23.24%	47.41%

Both teams to score 61.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.24%

39.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.88%

62.12%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02%

25.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01%

60.99%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94%

17.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77%

47.23%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 29.36%

AZ Alkmaar 47.41%

Draw 23.23%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.12% 1-0 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.36%	1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.23%	1-2 @ 9.34% 0-1 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 5.51% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 3.71% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.64% Other @ 4.12% Total : 47.41%