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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
48.07% | 23.55% | 28.38% |
Both teams to score 59.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.13% ( -0) | 41.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.73% | 64.26% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.38% | 17.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.8% | 48.2% |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% | 27.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% | 63.25% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |