Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2022 at 7pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
3 - 4
Utrecht

Guth (67'), Yilmaz (82' pen.), Noslin (90+6')
Tirpan (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dost (64'), Douvikas (71' pen., 77', 86')
Toornstra (81'), van der Maarel (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

Last Six:

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-1 Sittard
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Vitesse	4	-9	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	-7	0
18	Fortuna Sittard	4	-8	0

FC Utrecht

Last Six:

Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	RKC Waalwijk	4	-1	3
15	FC Utrecht	4	-3	2
16	Vitesse	4	-9	1

We said: Fortuna Sittard 1-3 FC Utrecht

Although both sides are winless this season, we think that Utrecht have enough quality in their squad to beat a Fortuna Sittard side who have conceded at least two goals in all four games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	FC Utrecht
23.68% ( -1.09)	23.13% ( -0.65)	53.18% ( 1.74)

Both teams to score 56.4% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02% (

1.8)

43.98% (

-1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.63% (

1.74)

66.36% (

-1.74)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55% (

0.06)

32.44% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.03% (

0.06)

68.96% (

-0.06)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

1.3)

16.51% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

2.3)

46.25% (

-2.3)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 23.68%

FC Utrecht 53.18%

Draw 23.13%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.68%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.43) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.18%