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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
28.71% | 23.54% | 47.74% |
Both teams to score 59.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.36% | 41.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.96% | 64.03% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% | 27.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% | 62.8% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.34% | 17.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.73% | 48.27% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 7.04% 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.72% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-1 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |