Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
