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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
72.25% | 15.2% | 12.54% |
Both teams to score 63.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.85% | 25.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.88% | 45.12% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.88% | 6.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.77% | 23.22% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.29% | 32.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.74% | 69.26% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-0 @ 7.28% 4-1 @ 5.68% 1-0 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 4.55% 4-2 @ 3.18% 5-1 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.84% 5-2 @ 1.77% 6-1 @ 1.48% 6-0 @ 1.32% 4-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.44% Total : 72.25% | 1-1 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.88% 0-0 @ 2% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.2% | 1-2 @ 3.49% 0-1 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.3% 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.44% Total : 12.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |