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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
37.36% | 25.79% | 36.84% |
Both teams to score 54.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% | 49.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.69% | 71.31% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.28% | 25.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.35% | 60.64% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.98% | 26.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% | 61.04% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.01% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |