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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a NEC win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
21.03% | 22.59% | 56.37% |
Both teams to score 54.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.35% | 44.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% | 35.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% | 72% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.35% | 15.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.33% | 44.67% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
1-0 @ 5.75% 2-1 @ 5.56% 2-0 @ 3% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.03% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.49% 1-3 @ 6.12% 0-3 @ 5.87% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.72% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |