Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.