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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Groningen |
44.85% | 26.51% | 28.64% |
Both teams to score 50.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.68% | 54.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% | 75.71% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% | 24.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% | 58.42% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% | 33.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% | 70.63% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |