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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
39.96% | 25.56% | 34.47% |
Both teams to score 55.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% | 48.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% | 70.57% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% | 23.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.8% | 58.19% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% | 27.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% | 62.37% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |