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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.38%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
21.94% | 21.68% | 56.38% |
Both teams to score 59.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.67% | 39.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.33% | 61.67% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% | 31.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% | 67.76% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.17% | 13.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.8% | 41.2% |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 5.77% 1-0 @ 5.03% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.67% Total : 21.94% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 6.49% 0-3 @ 5.6% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 3.21% 0-4 @ 2.77% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.27% 0-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |