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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
61.51% | 20.71% | 17.78% |
Both teams to score 55.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59% | 40.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.61% | 63.39% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.16% | 12.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.81% | 39.19% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% | 36.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% | 73.32% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.63% 3-1 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 6.76% 4-1 @ 3.5% 4-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.46% Total : 61.51% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-1 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.68% 1-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |