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Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
5 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Gaari (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
Eijgenraam (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Waalwijk have made a poor start to the new season and will need to get up and running sooner rather than later. We fancy them to take advantage of Excelsior's defensive porosity and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
44.16% (0.156 0.16) 23.72% (-0.3 -0.3) 32.12% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 61.21% (1.142 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (1.47 1.47)40.67% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (1.492 1.49)63.05% (-1.491 -1.49)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.663 0.66)18.71% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (1.099 1.1)50.07% (-1.098 -1.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.798 0.8)24.7% (-0.797 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (1.104 1.1)59.23% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 44.16%
    SBV Excelsior 32.12%
    Draw 23.72%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.12%

Head to Head
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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