RKC Waalwijk5 - 2SBV Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 15 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | SBV Excelsior | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | NEC | 4 | 2 | 5 |
We said: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 SBV Excelsior
Waalwijk have made a poor start to the new season and will need to get up and running sooner rather than later. We fancy them to take advantage of Excelsior's defensive porosity and come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
44.16% ( 0.16) | 23.72% ( -0.3) | 32.12% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( 1.47) | 40.67% ( -1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( 1.49) | 63.05% ( -1.49) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( 0.66) | 18.71% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.92% ( 1.1) | 50.07% ( -1.1) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.8) | 24.7% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.76% ( 1.1) | 59.23% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.36)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.12% |
