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Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
5 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Gaari (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
Eijgenraam (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Waalwijk have made a poor start to the new season and will need to get up and running sooner rather than later. We fancy them to take advantage of Excelsior's defensive porosity and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
44.16% (0.156 0.16) 23.72% (-0.3 -0.3) 32.12% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 61.21% (1.142 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (1.47 1.47)40.67% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (1.492 1.49)63.05% (-1.491 -1.49)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.663 0.66)18.71% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (1.099 1.1)50.07% (-1.098 -1.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.798 0.8)24.7% (-0.797 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (1.104 1.1)59.23% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 44.16%
    SBV Excelsior 32.12%
    Draw 23.72%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.12%

Head to Head
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II206592428-423
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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