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Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
5 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Gaari (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
Eijgenraam (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Waalwijk have made a poor start to the new season and will need to get up and running sooner rather than later. We fancy them to take advantage of Excelsior's defensive porosity and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
44.16% (0.156 0.16) 23.72% (-0.3 -0.3) 32.12% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 61.21% (1.142 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (1.47 1.47)40.67% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (1.492 1.49)63.05% (-1.491 -1.49)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.663 0.66)18.71% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (1.099 1.1)50.07% (-1.098 -1.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.798 0.8)24.7% (-0.797 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (1.104 1.1)59.23% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 44.16%
    SBV Excelsior 32.12%
    Draw 23.72%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.361 -0.36)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.12%

Head to Head
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ75111741316
3FC UtrechtUtrecht6510116516
4FC Twente7421135814
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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