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FC Twente logo
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Excelsior

FC Twente
4 - 0
SBV Excelsior

Cleonise (1'), Tzolis (8'), Cerny (62', 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Twente 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Despite boasting a poor record in the recent editions of this fixture, Twente possess a significantly better squad compared to their opponents and we are tipping them to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
61.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 20.8% (0.00099999999999767 0) 17.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.113 -0.11)41.39% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.117 -0.12)63.78% (0.119 0.12)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.15 -0.15)36.74% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.48% (-0.152 -0.15)73.53% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 61.39%
    SBV Excelsior 17.81%
    Draw 20.8%
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.8%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: FC Twente vs SBV Excelsior

FC Twente
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2017 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
SBV Excelsior
Boere (2')
Cuevas (38'), Lam (87')
Faik (41'), Massop (74'), Karami (80')
Caenepeel (84')
Feb 12, 2017 11.30am
Aug 6, 2016 6.45pm
FC Twente
1-2
SBV Excelsior
Oosterwijk (82')
Trajkovski (83')
Vermeulen (13'), Hasselbaink (61')
Koolwijk (17'), Kuipers (54'), Bruins (87')
Apr 20, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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