MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:40:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
 
PSV

SBV Excelsior
1 - 6
PSV

Horemans (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-3 PSV Eindhoven

PSV will be looking to serve up a quick response to a damaging defeat in midweek against opponents who have an abysmal record in this fixture. We are backing the away side to get the job done comprehensively, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
21.17% (0.675 0.68) 20.7% (0.481 0.48) 58.13% (-1.158 -1.16)
Both teams to score 61.51% (-0.677 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.33% (-1.361 -1.36)35.67% (1.359 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.27% (-1.52 -1.52)57.73% (1.518 1.52)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70% (-0.178 -0.18)29.99% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.215 -0.21)66.11% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.87% (-0.744 -0.74)12.13% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28% (-1.588 -1.59)37.71% (1.587 1.59)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 21.17%
    PSV Eindhoven 58.13%
    Draw 20.7%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.56% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 4.38% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 2.64% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 21.17%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.243 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.1% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 6.86% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 3.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-4 @ 3% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-5 @ 1.53% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-5 @ 0.92% (-0.085 -0.08)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 58.13%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs PSV

SBV Excelsior
11.5%
Draw
11.5%
PSV Eindhoven
76.9%
26
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
PSV
6-0
SBV Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
PSV
1-0
SBV Excelsior
Lozano (17')
Brenet (69'), Bergwijn (76')

Fortes (42'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (82')
Nov 26, 2017 1.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-2
PSV
Koolwijk (52')
Mattheij (62'), Fortes (86')
Mattheij (13' og.), Lozano (41')
Isimat-Mirin (82')
Jan 14, 2017 6.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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