Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
Maes Tegid
Bala Town1 - 2Paide
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Bala Town and Paide.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-2 Bala Town
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Paide 0-2 B36 Torshavn
Thursday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Aberystwyth | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Bala Town | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Barry | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Briton Ferry | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Cardiff MU | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Connah's Quay | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Flint Town | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Haverfordwest | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Newtown | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | New Saints | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paide would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Paide |
32.82% ( -0.1) | 26.1% ( -0.02) | 41.08% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
