UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Jan Breydelstadion

Brugge
2 - 0
Lugano

Thiago (62' pen.), Vanaken (90+6')
Thiago (47'), Vanaken (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marques (41'), Mahmoud (43'), Steffen (66'), Sabbatini (74'), El Wafi (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Club Brugge and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Brugge
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lugano

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lausanne 3-1 Lugano
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 57.18%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club Brugge	Draw	Lugano
57.18% ( 0)	21.3% ( -0.01)	21.51% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.88% (

0.03)

38.11% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.61% (

0.03)

60.39% (

-0.04)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.81% (

0.01)

13.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.09% (

0.02)

39.91% (

-0.02)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

0.02)

31.09% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

0.03)

67.41% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Club Brugge 57.18%

Lugano 21.51%

Draw 21.3%

Club Brugge	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.71% Total : 57.18%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.3%	1-2 @ 5.67% 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.72% Total : 21.51%