Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Crusaders3 - 1Caernarfon
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Mendes (24')
Caernarfon win 8-7 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Crusaders and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Crusaders
Thursday, July 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Crusaders
Thursday, July 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
47.16% ( -0.07) | 22.4% ( -0.13) | 30.44% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 65.18% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
