NIFL Premiership
May 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview
Crusaders3 - 1Carrick
Lecky (7', 54'), Nixon (45+1')
Lecky (76')
Lecky (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Purkis (45+3')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Crusaders
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
61
Last Game: Glenavon 1-2 Carrick
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
54
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
50.89% ( 0.14) | 23.57% ( -0.04) | 25.53% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
