Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki2 - 3PAOK
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between HJK Helsinki and PAOK.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-0 Inter Turku
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: PAOK 0-0 Aris
Sunday, September 17 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, September 17 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
Result | ||
HJK Helsinki | Draw | PAOK |
32.05% ( -0) | 27.54% ( -0) | 40.41% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.01% ( 0.02) | 56.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% ( 0.02) | 77.88% ( -0.02) |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( 0.01) | 32.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.59% ( 0.01) | 69.41% ( -0.01) |
PAOK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% ( 0.01) | 27.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% ( 0.02) | 63.18% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
HJK Helsinki 32.04%
PAOK 40.41%
Draw 27.53%
HJK Helsinki | Draw | PAOK |
1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.41% |
How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs PAOK
HJK Helsinki
47.6%Draw
14.3%PAOK
38.1%21
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 15:15:25
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
England
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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