MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:06:24| >> :120:18789:18789:
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Lugano

Legia
1 - 2
Lugano

Morishita (11')
Wszolek (28'), Kapustka (84'), Pankov (90+1'), Gual (90+2'), Luquinhas (90+4'), Morishita (90+7')
Pankov (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bottani (40'), Hajdari (74')
Bislimi (23'), Zanotti (90+5'), Steffen (90+6')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Legia Warsaw and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-3 Legia
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Luzern 1-4 Lugano
Saturday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawLugano
44.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.43% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.25% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.63% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)20.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.48% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 44.14%
    Lugano 31.44%
    Draw 24.42%
Legia WarsawDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Legia vs Lugano

Legia Warsaw
83.3%
Draw
13.3%
Lugano
3.3%
30
rhs 2.0
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