Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Floriana win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Tre Penne had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Floriana win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Tre Penne win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.