Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
Besiktas5 - 1Lugano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 3-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 22 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 22 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lugano 3-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 22 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 22 at 7.30pm in Europa League
We said: Besiktas 2-1 Lugano (Besiktas to win 5-4 on aggregate)
Both sides have shown their attacking qualities and defensive weaknesses in recent weeks and another end-to-end contest could be in store on Thursday. Lugano will fancy their chances of pulling off an upset, but we are backing Besiktas to prevail on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Lugano |
51.98% ( -0.25) | 23.3% ( 0.21) | 24.71% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( -0.9) | 43.72% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( -0.89) | 66.11% ( 0.89) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( -0.42) | 16.85% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.14% ( -0.75) | 46.85% ( 0.75) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( -0.45) | 31.44% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.18% ( -0.52) | 67.81% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
Besiktas 51.98%
Lugano 24.71%
Draw 23.3%
| Besiktas | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.71% |
How you voted: Besiktas vs Lugano
Besiktas
85.4%Draw
9.4%Lugano
5.2%96
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 7.30pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Lugano
3-3
Besiktas
Dec 14, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Lugano
0-2
Besiktas
Tosun (36'), Terzi (88')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')
Form Guide
