Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Partizana
Partizan0 - 1Lugano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 3-1 Servette
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
We said: Partizan 1-2 Lugano
While Lugano's elimination from the Champions League qualifiers will have been disappointing to fans, they did perform well against Fenerbahce, and could cause problems for Partizan's defence. Additionally, the hosts' aggregate 9-2 defeat against Dynamo Kyiv highlighted many defensive vulnerabilities in the team which could be exploited on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partizan | Draw | Lugano |
42.72% ( -0.11) | 23.18% ( 0.04) | 34.1% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.96% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.18) | 37.38% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.4% ( -0.19) | 59.6% ( 0.19) |
| Partizan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0.11) | 17.97% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.18% ( -0.2) | 48.82% ( 0.2) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.04) | 22.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.66% ( -0.07) | 55.34% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Partizan 42.72%
Lugano 34.1%
Draw 23.18%
| Partizan | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 42.72% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 34.1% |
How you voted: Partizan vs Lugano
Partizan
31.5%Draw
16.9%Lugano
51.7%89
Form Guide
