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Europa League
Lugano
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Partizan

Lugano
2 - 2
Partizan

Steffen (48'), Mahmoud (111')
Hajdari (49'), Valenzuela (105'), Mahmoud (112'), El Wafi (112'), Steffen (115'), Doumbia (120+3')
Hajdari (88')
FT
(aet)
Zahid (44'), Markovic (67')
Arriaga (17'), Ibrahim (33'), Mujakic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lugano and Partizan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lugano 2-3 Luzern
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Partizan

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Partizan 0-1 Lugano
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Basel123.00Barry
2FC Zurich102.50Jose Perea
3Lugano92.25Przybylko
4Servette91.80Kutesa
5St Gallen92.25Akolo
6Sion82.00Djokic
7Luzern71.75Klidje
8Lausanne61.50Diabate
9Young Boys61.20Ganvoula
10Yverdon Sport41.00Carlos
11Winterthur30.75Di Giusto
12Grasshopper30.75Morandi

We say: Lugano 1-1 Partizan (Lugano win 2-1 on aggregate)

 The close nature of the first leg would suggest that the second could swing in either team's favour, although Thursday's clash could be low scoring once again. If Partizan open up too early in search of an equaliser, they could be caught out during counter-attacks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Partizan win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%).

Result
LuganoDrawPartizan
46.01% (0.237 0.24) 23.14% (-0.055 -0.05) 30.85% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 62.69% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (0.187 0.19)38.45% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.26% (0.19600000000001 0.2)60.74% (-0.189 -0.19)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (0.166 0.17)17.09% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72% (0.287 0.29)47.28% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Partizan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)24.38% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.8% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 46.01%
    Partizan 30.85%
    Draw 23.13%
LuganoDrawPartizan
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Lugano vs Partizan

Lugano
65.4%
Draw
30.8%
Partizan
3.8%
52
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Partizan
0-1
Lugano

Ibrahim (29')
Zanotti (74')
Bislimi (35')
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