MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:34:06| >> :120:22316:22316:
Lugano
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Besiktas

Lugano
3 - 3
Besiktas

Bislimi (34'), Steffen (56'), Paulista (64' og.)
Doumbia (47'), Valenzuela (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandes (21', 52'), Elmusrati (55')
Ndour (45+2'), Onana (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lugano and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Partizan
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Besiktas 4-2 Antalyaspor
Sunday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Lugano 1-3 Besiktas

Both sides have looked strong in front of goal at the start of this season, so we could be in for a contest filled with final-third action. However, considering the form of Besiktas and the strength that they have throughout their squad, we believe that they will find a way to prevail in the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawBesiktas
40.98%24.2%34.82%
Both teams to score 60.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.86%42.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.46%64.54%
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28%20.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67%53.32%
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16%23.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98%58.02%
Score Analysis
    Lugano 40.98%
    Besiktas 34.82%
    Draw 24.19%
LuganoDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 8.78%
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.82%

How you voted: Lugano vs Besiktas

Lugano
14.8%
Draw
13.0%
Besiktas
72.2%
115
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Lugano
0-2
Besiktas

Espinoza (73'), Hajdari (76')
Steffen (90')
Tosun (36'), Terzi (88')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Besiktas
2-3
Lugano
Aboubakar (38', 52')
Rosier (43')
Rosier (61')
Aliseda (81'), Vladi (86'), Bailly (90' og.)
Bottani (43')
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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