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Europa League
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Boras Arena
Braga

Elfsborg
1 - 1
Braga

Holten (84')
Baldursson (14'), Hedlund (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ouma (67' og.)
Marques (90+2'), Oliveira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-0 Vasteras
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Braga
Sunday, November 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Elfsborg 2-2 Braga

 Goals are to be expected in this fixture on Thursday; while the net has rippled at least three times in nine of Braga's last 10 matches, there have been at least three goals scored in seven of Elfsborg's last nine games. Both teams will fancy their chances of coming out on top in this one and claiming three valuable Europa League points, but it is difficult to separate them at present, so the spoils may be shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawBraga
29.6% (0.041 0.04) 23.74% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 46.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 59.75% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.01% (-0.125 -0.13)41.99% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6% (-0.126 -0.13)64.39% (0.128 0.13)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)26.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)62.26% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)18.22% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.76% (-0.133 -0.13)49.23% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 29.6%
    Braga 46.66%
    Draw 23.73%
ElfsborgDrawBraga
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.6%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.66%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Braga

Elfsborg
28.7%
Draw
21.3%
Braga
50.0%
122
rhs 2.0
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