Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
73.06% ( -0.19) | 15.79% ( 0.03) | 11.14% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.3% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.61% ( 0.37) | 32.39% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.98% ( 0.43) | 54.01% ( -0.43) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.34% ( 0.05) | 7.65% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.68% ( 0.12) | 27.32% ( -0.13) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.88% ( 0.54) | 40.11% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.24% ( 0.49) | 76.75% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
2-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 73.06% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.79% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.48% Total : 11.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |