Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 2Braga
We said: Arouca 1-2 Braga
There have been a combined 30 goals scored in the last nine meetings between Arouca and Braga, and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca this weekend. While Arouca have struggled for consistency in the league this season, Braga head into the weekend on a fine run of results and we are backing them to make it four away wins on the trot against the Arouquenses. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Arouca win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Braga |
19.87% ( 0.74) | 21.55% ( 0.23) | 58.58% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
