We say: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Elfsborg
AZ have made a brilliant start to the season, and should have enough to overcome one of the lowest-ranked sides in this season's competition.
On their return to the European stage after over a decade away, it will be a baptism of fire for Elfsborg with numerous tricky fixtures, including this one against one of the most in-form sides in Holland at present.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Elfsborg has a probability of 21.44% and a draw has a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Elfsborg win is 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.46%).