MX23RW : Monday, September 23 18:24:57| >> :60:265:265:
AZ Alkmaar
Europa League | League Stage
Sep 25, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
vs.
Elfsborg

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 AZ
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Elfsborg 0-0 Hammarby
Sunday, September 22 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We say: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Elfsborg

AZ have made a brilliant start to the season, and should have enough to overcome one of the lowest-ranked sides in this season's competition. On their return to the European stage after over a decade away, it will be a baptism of fire for Elfsborg with numerous tricky fixtures, including this one against one of the most in-form sides in Holland at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Elfsborg has a probability of 21.44% and a draw has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Elfsborg win is 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.46%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawElfsborg
57.56% (0.061 0.06) 21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 21.44% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (0.032999999999994 0.03)36.77% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04)58.94% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.36% (0.028999999999996 0.03)12.64% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.21% (0.057000000000002 0.06)38.79% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.39% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)66.59% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 57.56%
    Elfsborg 21.44%
    Draw 21%
AZ AlkmaarDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 57.56%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21%
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 21.44%

Who will win Wednesday's Europa League clash between AZ and Elfsborg?

AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Elfsborg
AZ Alkmaar
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Elfsborg
0.0%
13
rhs 2.0
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