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Europa League
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
2 - 0
Rijeka

Baidoo (68'), Qasem (83')
Baidoo (58'), Holmen (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fruk (39'), Petrovic (56'), Jankovic (81'), Smolcic (81'), Holmen (89'), Galesic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and HNK Rijeka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-1 GAIS
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Varazdin 0-0 Rijeka
Sunday, August 11 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Next Game: Rapid Vienna vs. Trabzonspor
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa League

We said: Elfsborg 2-1 HNK Rijeka (Elfsborg win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Elfsborg have enjoyed a brilliant run of results since the arrival of Hiljemark in the managerial position, while Rijeka have failed to win away from home in six matches, suggesting the hosts will advance here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawHNK Rijeka
52.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.64% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 24.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)45.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 52.01%
    HNK Rijeka 24.35%
    Draw 23.64%
ElfsborgDrawHNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 24.35%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Rijeka

Elfsborg
89.6%
Draw
9.0%
HNK Rijeka
1.5%
67
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Rijeka
1-1
Elfsborg
Galesic (45+2')
Pasalic (40'), Rukavina (80')
Abdulai (24')
Abdulai (8'), Baldursson (31'), Holmen (36'), Yegbe (50')
Abdulai (56')
rhs 2.0
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