MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:23:08| >> :120:38353:38353:
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bravida Arena
Molde logo

Hacken
1 - 3
Molde

Hrstic (65')
Romeo (51'), Gustafson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gulbrandsen (16'), Eriksen (24', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Hacken and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hacken 4-2 Malmo
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Rosenborg 3-1 Molde
Sunday, November 5 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Hacken 1-2 Molde

Given the manner of their defeat in the reverse fixture, this feels like an uphill task for Hacken, particularly when they must throw caution to the wind. With that in mind, we are backing Molde to come out on top, albeit by a narrower scoreline compared to two weeks ago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Hacken win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
HackenDrawMolde
34.22% (-0.517 -0.52) 22.62% (0.148 0.15) 43.16% (0.368 0.37)
Both teams to score 66.16% (-0.746 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)34.52% (0.907 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.55% (-1.027 -1.03)56.45% (1.027 1.03)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (-0.682 -0.68)20.63% (0.681 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81% (-1.084 -1.08)53.18% (1.084 1.08)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)16.64% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (-0.4 -0.4)46.48% (0.4 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Hacken 34.22%
    Molde 43.16%
    Draw 22.62%
HackenDrawMolde
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.42% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 34.22%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.88% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.239 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.025 0.03)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 43.16%

How you voted: Hacken vs Molde

Hacken
15.2%
Draw
26.1%
Molde
58.7%
46
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Molde
5-1
Hacken
Gulbrandsen (6'), Wolff Eikrem (27', 55'), Breivik (30'), Bjornbak (90+3')
Wolff Eikrem (45+2')
Sonko (21')
rhs 2.0
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