Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
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