Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
1 - 3
Hacken

(Hacken win 5-3 on aggregate)

Miovski (55' pen.)
McGrath (70'), Devlin (90'), Duncan (90+5'), Lopes (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sadiq (14', 41'), Layouni (81' pen.)
Fridriksson (29'), Rygaard Jensen (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Aberdeen and Hacken, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Aberdeen
Sunday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hacken

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Goteborg 4-2 Hacken
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Aberdeen 2-2 Hacken (Aberdeen to win on penalties after 4-4 draw on aggregate)

The managers of both Aberdeen and Hacken will be keen to see a response from their players on Thursday following their under-par performances on the domestic front over the weekend. Another closely-fought contest could be on the cards in the reverse fixture, one that could go beyond 90 minutes, but with Aberdeen playing in front of a fired-up Pittodrie crowd, we believe that they will do enough to progress to the group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Hacken
24.17% ( 0.05)	22.14% ( 0.01)	53.69% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 60.43% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08% (

38.91% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.77% (

61.23% (

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

0.04)

29.28% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

0.05)

65.24% (

-0.04)

Hacken Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45% (

-0.01)

14.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.41% (

-0.03)

42.59% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 24.17%

Hacken 53.69%

Draw 22.14%

Aberdeen	Draw	Hacken
2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 24.17%	1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.69%