Molde showed plenty of quality in the opening Europa League group game, but this will be a different kind of test against one of the strongest teams in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen have made a perfect start to the season in all competitions, and with the attacking qualities that they have this should be a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
46.23% ( 0.11)	22.73% ( 0.01)	31.03% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 64.31% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.63% (

-0.1)

36.36% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.5% (

-0.11)

58.5% (

0.1)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8% (

16.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31% (

0.01)

45.68% (

-0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

-0.12)

23.25% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

-0.17)

57.17% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Molde 46.23%

Bayer Leverkusen 31.03%

Draw 22.73%

Molde	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.03%