Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG
3 - 2
Malmo

Burgess (17'), Teuma (69'), Okoh Boniface (71')
Van der Heyden (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ceesay (6'), Kiese Thelin (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union SG 2-1 Malmo

Les Unionistes were far more impressive in the opening round of fixtures, and in front of a Belgian home crowd, we back them to prevail with a second straight victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Malmo
47.66% ( -0)	23.69% ( -0.05)	28.64% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 59.25% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.63% (

0.28)

42.37% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.22% (

0.28)

64.78% (

-0.29)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

0.11)

17.97% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.19% (

0.19)

48.81% (

-0.19)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22% (

0.18)

27.78% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64% (

0.23)

63.36% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Union SG 47.66%

Malmo 28.64%

Draw 23.69%

Union SG	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.66%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.64%